USDJPY Daily – Buyers gaining momentum

The USDJPY currency pair, on the D1 time-frame, was in a downward spiral until June the 23rd when a lower bottom was reached at 106.071. Buyers found the price attractive and demand began exceeding supply.

After the lower bottom at 106.071, the price traversed upwards through both the 15 and 34 Simple Moving Averages and the Momentum Oscillator crossed the zero baselines into bullish terrain.

A higher top and possible critical resistance level formed on July the 1st at 108.162 and sellers are currently applying downward pressure to the market.

If the USDJPY currency pair breaks through the critical resistance level at 108.162, then three possible price targets may be calculated from there.

Applying the Fibonacci tool to the top of the resistance level at 108.162 and dragging it to the bottom of a possible support area near the 15 Simple Moving Average at 107.155, the following targets could be considered. The first target might be projected at 108.784 (161 %) and the second price target is likely at 109.791 (261.8%). The third and final target may well be expected at 111.421 (423.6%) if the uptrend continues making higher tops and bottoms.

If, however, the 107.155 support level is reached, the bullish scenario above is invalidated and will need to be re-assessed.

As long as buyers maintain a positive sentiment and demand overwhelms supply, the outlook for the USDJPY currency pair on the Daily time-frame will remain bullish.

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Disclaimer: This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.

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Nigel Frith

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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Between 51-89% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.