Following a short downtrend structure that started forming on the GBPJPY Daily chart, it seems like the Bears might be running out of steam. On the 30th of October, a lower bottom formed at 134.401 but the downward momentum could not be sustained. The currency pair then broke through the 15 and 34 Simple Moving Averages with the Momentum Oscillator briefly touching the 100 baseline that divides the positive and negative territories.
The upward momentum continued until it hit a possible critical resistance level at 137.386 on the 4th of November. The Bears then tried their best to regain control but a support level was formed the next day at 135.075 with a Hammer Candles pattern and a resulting possible higher bottom completed. This is the first indication for technical traders of a possible change in trend from consecutively lower tops and bottoms to consecutively higher tops and bottoms.
If the GBPJPY breaks through the critical resistance level at 137.386, then three possible price targets can be calculated from there. Applying the Fibonacci tool to the top of the resistance level at 137.386 and dragging it to the conformed support level at 135.075, the following targets may be considered. The first target can be estimated at 138.814 (161 %). The second price target may be considered at 141.125 (261.8%), and the third and final target could be projected at 144.864 (423.6%).
If the established 135.075 support level is broken, the anticipated price targets above are annulled and the whole scenario must be re-evaluated.
As long as the GBPJPY price structure continues to make higher tops and bottoms, the outlook for the currency pair on the Daily time-frame will remain bullish.
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